Last
summer Calgarypuck.com expanded it's prospect analysis to
include a new sub-feature, "Right on the Money", a look at
past rankings that proved to be accurate in how a player would
turn out.
The
2003 analysis has given us four years of analysis to look back
on in order to find examples of players that have developed
into the roles that many had foreseen, while providing many
other examples of players that have fallen off the mark.
Clearly
the 2000 group is the easiest to judge, followed by the 2001
group and so on. With more time you gain a better
understanding of the progress, or lack thereof of each
prospect.
Looking
back at past prospect lists can read somewhat like a vicious
joke to Calgary fans. Rico Fata is not an average hockey
player. Neither is Daniel Tkaczuk nor Kurtis Foster. Dimitri
Kokorev has made fewer appearances than the Sasquatch and a
good portion of the rest of the earlier prospect groups are no
longer with the Flames organization.
Players
that have made the team; like Oleg Saprykin or Jordan Leopold,
may have a good shot to someday realize their potential, but
to this point are only a shadow or tease of their future
selves.
That
doesn't mean the group didn't get some picks right,
however. But the lack of a true star in the list below speaks
volumes about why the club has suffered through seven years
out of the playoffs.
Blair
Betts (2000 rank 2.9)
Blair
Betts was never expected to be a star hockey player, but a
solid contributing pivot for the club's third or fourth
line. Three years later it looks like Betts is ready to take
that step and play a full season with the big club under
Darryl Sutter. Betts was mentioned by Sutter this summer as
one of the few examples of Flame prospects that made it
through the system and up to Calgary to stay. He entered our
lists at 2.9 in 2000, moved to 3.0 in 2001 and then back to
2.9 in 2002. His expectation level rose slightly this summer
with a grade of 3.07.
Toni
Lydman (2000 rank 3.6)
Toni
Lydman has turned out to be every bit the player expected by
Calgary fans when they gave the Finnish blueliner an above
average rating of 3.6 during the summer of 2000. A few months
later Lydman graduated to the Flames and has seen his role
expand a little more each season in Calgary. Going into the
2003-04 season Lydman will once again take to the ice for
close to 26 minutes a night and play a key role within the
club's top four blueliners.
Chris
Clark (2000 rank 2.5)
With
a rating of 2.5, big things were not expected for Chris Clark
in Calgary, so in a way one could say he's delivered. Clark
entered the prospect lists in 2000, and then followed up that
grade with a duplicate mark of 2.5 in 2001. He completed his
second full season in Calgary this past winter recording 10
goals for the second straight season. The real question for
Clark is; where does he go from here? Is he a third line
winger that is able to chip in offensively or a fourth line
player without a clear endearing skill?
Jarett
Stoll (2000 rank 3.2)
Tracking
the career of Edmonton Oiler forwards is likely not the most
popular practice for a Calgary website, but we'll make an
exception in the case of Jarett Stoll. Stoll was drafted in
the second round of 2000, and entered the prospect lists with
a rating of 3.2. A year later the young pivot garnered a
rating of 3.3, before leaving Calgary for Edmonton during the
summer of 2002. His slightly above average rating on the
Calgarypuck.com prospect lists may appear high at this point,
but with Todd Marchant exiting the provincial capital, Stoll
may end up holding down the Oilers' third line center role
during the upcoming season.
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