Every year there's a prospect
or two that completely reverse their development course, or
accelerate or decelerate their pace towards the NHL.
In past seasons this analysis
could almost be called the Oleg Saprykin Watch as the
enigmatic Russian sniper has gone from the future, to the past
and back again several times.
Oleg Saprykin is a great
example of just how important the role of patience needs to be
when National Hockey League teams monitor the strides being
made by their top prospects.
A few seasons ago a young
French Canadian goaltender by the name of Jean Sebastian
Giguere was deemed to be plateaued and was dealt to the Mighty
Ducks of Anaheim. This past set of Stanley Cup playoffs proved
the Flames very much wrong.
The 2003 analysis of rating
variance is unique to the previous two years of data. Many
players saw some pretty significant swings in past summer's
data, but this year most prospects remained fairly close to
their starting point.
Movin' On Up
With Saprykin officially
graduated and seemingly a semi-permanent fixture with the big
league Flames it's time to anoint a new most improved rating
champion for the class of 2003.
Improving
With Age - Rank |
Player |
'02
Rank |
'03
Rank |
Place |
Andrei
Medvedev |
10 |
2 |
8 |
Brent
Krahn |
8 |
4 |
4 |
Andrei
Taratukhin |
7 |
6 |
1 |
|
Andrei Medvedev has had a
wild ride on the Calgarypuck.com prospect lists. The rather
generously proportioned Russian stopper was taken in the
second round of the 2001 NHL Entry Draft and has been in and
out of hearts of Calgary hockey fans every since. He led the
fastest falling categories in this piece last year dropping
his rating 33% from 3.50 to 2.70 and his placement from 5th to
10th overall.
This summer Medvedev reversed
all that climbing eight spots from 10th to 2nd overall on the
prospect lists, as well as 1.28 rating points.
Improving
With Age - Rating |
Player |
'02
Rating |
'03
Rating |
Variance |
Andrei
Medvedev |
2.70 |
3.98 |
1.28 |
Brent
Krahn |
3.00 |
3.65 |
0.65 |
Andrei
Taratukhin |
3.10 |
3.52 |
0.42 |
|
Fellow goaltender, Brent
Krahn also saw somewhat of a comeback, a process that was
aided by his movement from the Calgary Hitmen to the Seattle
Thunderbirds for the WHL playoffs. The large stopper seems to
have recovered from his knee injuries and could be well on his
way back to a promising career. Krahn moved up four spots
overall with an increase of 0.65 scoring points.
The final member of the
"Moving Up" group is Russian center Andrei
Taratukhin. The nifty pivot put his name back on the map with
a solid performance at the 2002 World Junior Championships in
Halifax - a tournament that saw his Russian squad take home
the gold medal. He only moved up one spot in the rankings, but
0.42 scoring points moving from an average to an above average
prospect.
Other notable increases
included Tomi Maki with 0.33 (2.50 to 2.83), Brian McConnell
with 0.30 (2.70 to 3.00), Blair Betts with 0.17 (2.90 to 3.07)
and Eric Nystrom with .08 (3.40 to 3.48).
Losing Their Grip
To make the grade at the NHL
level a prospect has to keep his feet moving, or continue to
make strides toward his ultimate goal each and every season.
Losing
Ground - Rank |
Player |
'02
Rank |
'03
Rank |
Place |
Eric
Nystrom |
5 |
7 |
-2 |
Blair
Betts |
9 |
10 |
-1 |
|
Sometimes
however, the issue isn't so much an individual player losing
ground as it is an organization gaining prospects. The Flames
prospect pool has been altered greatly for 2003 with two of
the top five players drafted just a month ago, and two others
making significant comebacks.
Losing
Ground - Rating |
Player |
'02
Rating |
'03
Rating |
Variance |
Yuri
Trubachev |
3.50 |
3.29 |
-0.21 |
|
As
a result Eric Nystrom and Blair Betts each lost their spot in
the rankings with Nystrom slipping two spots and Betts one.
Only one prospect that
appeared in both the 2002 and 2003 prospect analyses actually
lost ground in his grade point. That player was Russian center
Yuri Trubachev who fell from a 3.50 to a 3.29.
|