The question is ... how?
Really, merging potential and likelihood is like combining an apple with an orange.
For the sake of interest, we've come up with a direct average of the two indices to provide a another way of ranking the players, but admit that the weighting of each category could vary a great deal.
Rank |
Player |
Likelihood |
Potential |
Average |
1 |
Jordan Leopold |
4.8 |
4.3 |
4.53 |
2 |
Chuck Kobasew |
4.8 |
4.2 |
4.50 |
3 |
Eric Nystrom |
4.0 |
3.4 |
3.69 |
4 |
Levente Szuper |
3.6 |
3.4 |
3.54 |
5 |
Oleg Saprykin |
3.5 |
3.5 |
3.50 |
6 |
Blair Betts |
3.9 |
2.9 |
3.37 |
7 |
Mathew Lombardi |
3.0 |
3.4 |
3.21 |
8 |
Steve Montador |
3.5 |
2.6 |
3.06 |
9 |
Andrei Taratukhin |
2.9 |
3.1 |
2.99 |
10 |
Brent Krahn |
3.0 |
3.0 |
2.99 |
11 |
Jesse Cook |
3.1 |
2.6 |
2.86 |
12 |
Andrei Medvedev |
2.1 |
2.7 |
2.41 |
13 |
Roman Rozakov |
2.4 |
2.3 |
2.36 |
14 |
Micki Dupont |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.27 |
15 |
Dimitri Kokorev |
2.2 |
2.4 |
2.26 |
|
Is a prospect more cherished because he's a sure fire NHL player? Or does potential and talent lead the way for prospect ratings.
At any rate the analysis to the right shows the results, given a 50/50 weighting.
The top three players from the likelihood table remain at the top of the combined table, but Oleg Saprykin, who moves from 9th to 5th, showed a significant increase in placement.
The combined chart lowers the placement of less talented players like Blair Betts and Steve Montador, while rewarding the nutritionally challenged Andrei Medvedev.