Future Flames 2002
Calgarypuck.com - Combined Analysis

Now that we've established each player's potential and chances of making it to the NHL, it's tempting to combine the two statistics to come up with an overall index.

The question is ... how?

Really, merging potential and likelihood is like combining an apple with an orange.

For the sake of interest, we've come up with a direct average of the two indices to provide a another way of ranking the players, but admit that the weighting of each category could vary a great deal.

Rank

Player

Likelihood

Potential

Average

1

Jordan Leopold

4.8

4.3

4.53

2

Chuck Kobasew

4.8

4.2

4.50

3

Eric Nystrom

4.0

3.4

3.69

4

Levente Szuper

3.6

3.4

3.54

5

Oleg Saprykin

3.5

3.5

3.50

6

Blair Betts

3.9

2.9

3.37

7

Mathew Lombardi

3.0

3.4

3.21

8

Steve Montador

3.5

2.6

3.06

9

Andrei Taratukhin

2.9

3.1

2.99

10

Brent Krahn

3.0

3.0

2.99

11

Jesse Cook

3.1

2.6

2.86

12

Andrei Medvedev

2.1

2.7

2.41

13

Roman Rozakov

2.4

2.3

2.36

14

Micki Dupont

2.3

2.3

2.27

15

Dimitri Kokorev

2.2

2.4

2.26

Is a prospect more cherished because he's a sure fire NHL player? Or does potential and talent lead the way for prospect ratings.

At any rate the analysis to the right shows the results, given a 50/50 weighting.

The top three players from the likelihood table remain at the top of the combined table, but Oleg Saprykin, who moves from 9th to 5th, showed a significant increase in placement.

The combined chart lowers the placement of less talented players like Blair Betts and Steve Montador, while rewarding the nutritionally challenged Andrei Medvedev.

 

 

Feature Guide

Potential Rating Key

Likelihood Rating Key

2000 All Future Team

2001 All Future Team

2002 All Future Team

Potential Analysis - 2000

Potential Analysis - 2001

Potential Analysis - 2002

Likelihood Analysis - 2002

Combined Analysis - 2002

2000 to 2001

2001 to 2002

Jordan Leopold

Chuck Kobasew

Oleg Saprykin

Levente Szuper

Eric Nystrom

Past Ratings vs. Current Success

Right On the Money

Way Off the Mark

 

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